4

Kibora Buissonay
6yo Mare · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Ronchin - Attele · 1m 6f 9y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | La Capelle | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Enghien | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-13 | Enghien | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/12/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 10/01/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 9% | -0.17 |
| 20/01/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 01/02/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 25/02/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 13/03/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 01/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 20/09/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |