13

Koman
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Ronchin - Attele · 1m 6f 9y
#6
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-11 | Enghien | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | La Capelle | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-04 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength35%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 12/02/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 81% | +0.26 |
| 23/03/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 14/04/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 53% | -0.31 |
| 04/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.45 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 11/07/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |