13
Lewis River
5yo Colt · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Grand Prix La Voix Du Nord - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#10
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Enghien | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Vincennes | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength97%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 31/12/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 22% | -0.36 |
| 23/01/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 91% | +0.22 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 54% | +0.49 |
| 21/06/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 70% | +0.04 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 82% | +0.21 |