11
Lovely Du Vallon
5yo Filly · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Grand Prix La Voix Du Nord - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#12
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Enghien | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Vincennes | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Vincennes | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength82%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 24/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 20/11/2025 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 17/01/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 25/01/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 29/05/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |