8
Luciole Du Vertain
5yo Filly · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Grand Prix La Voix Du Nord - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#14
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vincennes | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Cabourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | La Capelle | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | La Capelle | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength52%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 17/03/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 14/04/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 26/05/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 07/07/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 45% | -0.18 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 17/09/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |