1
Lucius De Puch
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Grand Prix La Voix Du Nord - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-01 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-16 | Enghien | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | La Capelle | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 01/10/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 27/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 08/11/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 02/03/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 19/04/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |