12
Lusanio De Warnoc
5yo Colt · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Grand Prix La Voix Du Nord - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#3
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Enghien | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Enghien | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Vincennes | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Vincennes | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Mauquenchy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength41%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 93% | +0.22 |
| 16/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.12 |
| 08/11/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 04/03/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 16/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 30/04/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.25 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |