14
Kalifornie
6yo Mare · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix Croise-laroche.fr - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#15
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Nantes | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-24 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-09 | Amiens | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Laval | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 2-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength52%
Delivery trend +6.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 03/01/2025 | 9th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 31/01/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 29/03/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |
| 09/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 24/12/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 13/02/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 53% | +0.38 |
| 17/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 22/04/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |