5
Kel Diablo Ergee
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix Croise-laroche.fr - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#14
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Argentan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Caen | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Mauquenchy | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-21 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Reims | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength20%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2024 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 80% | +0.75 |
| 15/06/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 18% | -0.08 |
| 25/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |
| 23/08/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 54% | +0.12 |
| 14/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 21/09/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 04/02/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 12/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |