8

Kesa Des Thirons
6yo Mare · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix Croise-laroche.fr - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#16
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Cabourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-24 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Les Sables | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength63%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 25/07/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 06/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 92% | +0.09 |
| 04/09/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 69% | +0.11 |
| 13/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 24/12/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 01/01/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 22/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 25/08/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |