8

Kesa Des Thirons

6yo Mare · 0-0

Le Croise-Laroche · Prix Croise-laroche.fr - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#16

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chartres 18/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 018/06C?C0 @ Cabourg 25/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Mauquenchy 06/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 06/08C?C0 @ Les Sables 04/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 13/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 013/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 24/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 01/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 01/01C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 22/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y 0C0 @ Cabourg 25/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 025/08C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Cabourg?7th7th0
2026-06-22Le Croise-Laroche?5th5th0
2026-01-01Vincennes?9th9th0
2025-12-24Vincennes?5th5th0
2025-12-13Lyon-Parilly?2nd2nd0
2025-09-04Les Sables?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/064/091/0125/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength63%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/06/20253rd8/158%83%+0.25
25/07/20254th4/179%80%+0.01
06/08/20252nd10/382%92%+0.09
04/09/20255th8/158%69%+0.11
13/12/20252nd7/163%93%+0.30
24/12/20255th20/10%73%+0.73
01/01/20269th8/158%43%-0.15
22/06/20265th16/116%71%+0.56
25/08/20267th10/147%57%+0.10