15

Jour Des Racques
7yo Gelding · 10-1
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Faches-thumesnil - Monte · 1m 6f 9y
#15
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Cabourg | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-09-02 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-25 | La Capelle | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-26 | Nancy | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Reims | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength45%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/12/2024 | 2nd | 66/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 21/07/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 17/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.10 |
| 03/09/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 22% | -0.41 |
| 24/10/2025 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 25/03/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 25/08/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |