12
Kames Merite
6yo Gelding · 10-3
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Faches-thumesnil - Monte · 1m 6f 9y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Laval | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Amiens | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-28 | Graignes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-12 | Pontchateau | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength63%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/12/2024 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 23/01/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 18% | -0.29 |
| 12/09/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 29/09/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 09/12/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 31/12/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |
| 12/04/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |