13
Kap Normand
6yo Gelding · 10-3
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Faches-thumesnil - Monte · 1m 6f 9y
#12
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Cabourg | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Chartres | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | La Capelle | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Reims | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength60%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 24/10/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 02/12/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 23/03/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 23/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 08/05/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 17/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 07/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |