4
Kentucky Scarlet
6yo Gelding · 9-13
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Faches-thumesnil - Monte · 1m 6f 9y
#10
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Lyon-Parilly | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-31 | Reims | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-21 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength70%
Delivery trend +6.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/2024 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 20/06/2024 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.27 |
| 17/04/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 87% | +0.50 |
| 16/06/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 69% | -0.18 |
| 23/08/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 21/12/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 31/05/2026 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 26/07/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |