10

Kingalo Du Chene

6yo Gelding · 10-3

Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Faches-thumesnil - Monte · 1m 6f 9y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

14%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 23/11/2023 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13223/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 20/12/2023 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y 132C0 @ Vincennes 23/01/2024 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13923/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 30/04/2024 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 139C0 @ Vincennes 21/05/2024 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13921/05C?C0 @ Reims 20/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 143C0 @ Caen 26/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 14326/04C?C0 @ Nancy 29/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 1434 @ Vincennes 17/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 14317/094projClass-projected finish: 1st of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Vincennes44th4th0
2026-06-18Caen70
2026-05-29Nancy?2nd2nd0
2025-05-05Meslay Du Maine?0
2025-04-26Caen?1st1st0
2025-03-20Reims?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/1130/0426/0417/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength95%

Delivery trend -0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/11/20238th18/15%36%+0.31
20/12/20232nd10/147%92%+0.44
23/01/20245th3/184%64%-0.21
30/04/20242nd4/179%91%+0.12
21/05/20245th13/266%60%-0.06
20/03/20253rd8/158%80%+0.22
26/04/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
29/05/20262nd3/184%89%+0.05
17/09/20264th12/137%75%+0.38