6
Lauvergnier
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Faches-thumesnil - Monte · 1m 6f 9y
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Reims | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Lyon-Parilly | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Graignes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-04 | Laval | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |
| 07/03/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 15/09/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 79% | +0.15 |
| 04/10/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 70% | -0.19 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 13/09/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 64% | +0.00 |