5
Le Cador De Simm
5yo Gelding · 10-1
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Faches-thumesnil - Monte · 1m 6f 9y
#5
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Cabourg | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | La Capelle | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-15 | Caen | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Caen | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-19 | Reims | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength23%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/2024 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 12/06/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 08/07/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 01/08/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 15/08/2025 | 4th | 1/1 | 95% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 14/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 15/06/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 46% | +0.41 |
| 18/08/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |