8
Lou D'ecroville
5yo Filly · 9-13
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Faches-thumesnil - Monte · 1m 6f 9y
#8
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-08 | Argentan | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-27 | Chatelaillon | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Le Mans | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Lisieux | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 8-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength27%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 10/11/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 24/12/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 25/01/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 06/02/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 69% | +0.32 |
| 13/07/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 27/07/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.31 |
| 11/09/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |