14
Lover Sixty One
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Faches-thumesnil - Monte · 1m 6f 9y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Divonne Les Bains | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Divonne Les Bains | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-01 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-25 | Laval | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength78%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 24/09/2025 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 14/10/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 30/10/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 03/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 12/06/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 25/06/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |