7
Luna De Joudes
5yo Filly · 9-13
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Faches-thumesnil - Monte · 1m 6f 9y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Strasbourg | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-08 | Amiens | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-31 | Reims | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | La Capelle | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength88%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 69% | +0.09 |
| 23/08/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 10/11/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 17/12/2025 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 23/04/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 55% | -0.01 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.07 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 27/08/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |