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2

Montrose Vergnier

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Loos - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 06/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 06/03C?C0 @ Reims 09/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 09/04C?C0 @ Vichy 05/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 05/05C?C0 @ Chateaubriant 13/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 013/09C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Chateaubriant?4th4th0
2025-05-05Vichy?1st1st0
2025-04-09Reims?4th4th0
2025-03-06Laval?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/039/045/0513/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength72%

Delivery trend -16.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/03/20256th50/10%44%+0.44
09/04/20254th18/15%70%+0.65
05/05/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
13/09/20264th7/163%67%+0.04