12
Madrilene
4yo Filly · 9-6
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Wattrelos - Monte · 1m 6f 9y
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Vichy | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Vichy | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Vichy | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Saint Galmier | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Saint Galmier | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength23%
Delivery trend -0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 87% | +0.39 |
| 10/12/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 24/12/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 24/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |
| 12/03/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 15/06/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 01/08/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 10/09/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |