10
Magic De Tillard
4yo Gelding · 9-10
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Wattrelos - Monte · 1m 6f 9y
#11
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Cabourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Pornichet | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Amiens | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Caen | 5 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Graignes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength92%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 29/07/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 28/04/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 16/05/2026 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 31/07/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.58 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |