7
Mamzelle Du Houlet
4yo Filly · 8-11
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Wattrelos - Monte · 1m 6f 9y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-26 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | La Capelle | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | La Capelle | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Reims | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength56%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2025 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 11% | +0.06 |
| 09/10/2025 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 26/01/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 12/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 30/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 26/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |