11
Marston Victory
4yo Gelding · 9-13
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De Wattrelos - Monte · 1m 6f 9y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Divonne Les Bains | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Amiens | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cabourg | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-07 | Cabourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Vichy | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Nancy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength40%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 10% | +0.05 |
| 08/10/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 30/10/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 02/12/2025 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.77 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 58% | +0.16 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 20/08/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 23% | -0.03 |