6
Miss Fussy Pants
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 75
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength2%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 20/04/2026 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 33% | -0.59 |
| 19/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |