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Queen In The Deck

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 73

Mountaineer · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength62%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Colonial Downs 10/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 81 · 1m Gd 118 · beat its mark10/09/2025 · OR 81 par10/09C8OR 81C8 @ Aqueduct 12/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 82 · 1m 120 · below its mark12/12/2025 · OR 82 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 03/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 75 · 1m70y Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/02/2026 · OR 75 par3/02C5OR 75C5 @ Mahoning Valley 23/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 74 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/02/2026 · OR 74 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 09/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 74 · 1m Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/03/2026 · OR 74 par9/03C5OR 74C6 @ Mountaineer 04/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 79 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/05/2026 · OR 79 parC6 @ Mountaineer 01/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 75 · 7f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 75 par1/06C6OR 75C7 @ Colonial Downs 18/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 73 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 73 parC6 @ Charles Town 16/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 77 · 6f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 77 par16/08C6OR 77projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Charles Town?3rd2nd+1
2026-07-18Colonial Downs?7th7th0
2026-06-01Mountaineer?1st0th+1
2026-05-04Mountaineer?4th3rd+1
2026-03-09Mahoning Valley?3rd1st+2
2026-02-23Mahoning Valley?1st-1th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0923/021/0616/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength62%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/09/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
12/12/20253rd4/179%71%-0.08
03/02/20262nd13/891%86%-0.06
23/02/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
09/03/20263rd4/179%67%-0.12
04/05/20264th15/261%57%-0.03
01/06/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
18/07/20267th25/10%0%0.00
16/08/20263rd12/137%71%+0.35