5
Gallant Runner
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 70
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Allowance · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-07-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 11th | −4 |
| 2026-06-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-04-10 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 9th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength59%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 10/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 05/07/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |