IvyArcIvyArc
4

Independent Streak

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 63

Mountaineer · Race 2 - Allowance · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Mountaineer 22/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 12022/06C6C6 @ Mountaineer 02/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f 1202/08C6C6 @ Mountaineer 16/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f 12016/09C6projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Mountaineer?1st2nd−1
2026-08-02Mountaineer?5th6th−1
2026-06-22Mountaineer?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/062/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength71%

Delivery trend +29.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/06/20263rd7/491%60%-0.31
02/08/20265th4/179%50%-0.29
16/09/20261st11/271%100%+0.29