8
Zena Cat
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 76
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Allowance · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
94%
Place Prob
77%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 10th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
Delivery trend -9.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 12/02/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 26/02/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 28/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 14/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 71% | -0.23 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 12/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |