6
Eyesonthecandy
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 48
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength80%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-08-18 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-08-04 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-07-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength13%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 12/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 04/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 14/09/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |