IvyArcIvyArc
4

I'm Great Two

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 55

Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength82%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Mountaineer 29/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 32 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/07/2025 · OR 32 par29/07C6OR 32C6 @ Mountaineer 06/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 38 · 5f Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/08/2025 · OR 38 parC9 @ Mountaineer 26/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 43 · 7f110y Fm 123 · below its mark26/08/2025 · OR 43 par26/08C9OR 43C6 @ Mountaineer 16/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 44 · 6f Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/09/2025 · OR 44 parC6 @ Mountaineer 30/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 36 · 5f110y 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/10/2025 · OR 36 par30/10C6OR 36C6 @ Mountaineer 18/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 38 · 6f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/11/2025 · OR 38 parC8 @ Mountaineer 27/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 40 · 7f 124 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 40 par27/07C8OR 40C6 @ Mountaineer 04/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 53 · 6f Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 53 parC8 @ Mountaineer 23/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 54 · 7f 124 · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 54 par23/08C8OR 54projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Mountaineer?5th5th0
2026-08-04Mountaineer?5th3rd+2
2026-07-27Mountaineer?7th7th0
2025-11-18Mountaineer?1st-1th+2
2025-10-30Mountaineer?4th2nd+2
2025-09-16Mountaineer?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0716/0927/0723/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength65%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/07/20255th40/10%50%+0.50
06/08/20252nd12/137%83%+0.46
26/08/20257th8/158%14%-0.44
16/09/20255th16/116%20%+0.04
30/10/20254th25/10%63%+0.63
18/11/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
27/07/20267th33/10%25%+0.25
04/08/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
23/08/20265th40/10%20%+0.20