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3

Depalma

7yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 102

Newton Abbot · Celebrating Devon Women In Business Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 3m 1f 170y

#3

Rank

Odds

11/10

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Two-time Irish point winner. Shaped well when 3-length second to Limerick Leader on stable debut at Bangor. Overcame return to hurdles/shorter trip to get off the mark in course novice (2¾m) last time. Makes plenty of appeal off the same mark back over fences and hardly looks fully exposed, either.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.6
Today: 3
Class gap: -4.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA97 @ Galway 08/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 97 · 2m2f209y Goo 149 · below its mark08/10/2024 · OR 97 par8/1097OR 97C8 @ Wexford 28/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 97 · 2m100y Sft 166 · below its mark28/10/2024 · OR 97 parBHA102 @ Punchestown 23/11/2024 · Pos 11th of 19 · OR 102 · 2m3f87y Sft 148 · below its mark23/11/2024 · OR 102 par23/11102OR 102C8 @ Leopardstown 26/12/2024 · Pos 9th of 19 · OR 101 · 2m Yie 144 · below its mark26/12/2024 · OR 101 parBHA101 @ Downpatrick 23/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 101 · 2m2f185y Gd 157 · below its mark23/05/2025 · OR 101 par23/05101OR 101BHA100 @ Kilbeggan 11/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 100 · 2m2f160y Gd 168 · below its mark11/07/2025 · OR 100 parBHA97 @ Wexford 06/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 97 · 2m Goo 149 · below its mark06/08/2025 · OR 97 par6/0897OR 974 @ Bangor-on-Dee 04/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 101 · 3m30y Gd 159 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 101 par4 @ Newton Abbot 18/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 102 · 2m5f122y Gd 158 · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 102 par18/094OR 102projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Newton Abbot41st2nd−1
2026-09-04Bangor-on-Dee42nd3rd−1
2025-08-06WexfordBHA974th12th−7
2025-07-11KilbegganBHA1008th16th−7
2025-05-23DownpatrickBHA1016th15th−7
2024-12-26Leopardstown?9th14th−5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1026/126/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 30% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength80%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 3.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/10/20244th12/137%40%+0.03
28/10/20242nd11/486%90%+0.04
23/11/202411th9/153%44%-0.08
26/12/20249th16/116%56%+0.40
23/05/20256th9/276%44%-0.32
11/07/20258th6/168%36%-0.32
06/08/20254th13/266%40%-0.26
04/09/20262nd3/184%83%-0.01
18/09/20261st6/594%100%+0.06