Happy Chandler
5yo Gelding · 11-0
Newton Abbot · Jodie Standing's Point-To-Point Recruits Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 167y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Worcester | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Leicester | 5 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Leicester | 6 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-07 | Windsor | 6 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Leicester | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 55% | -0.09 |
| 20/11/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 05/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.23 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 86% | -0.07 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 13/06/2026 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |