IvyArcIvyArc
5

Savanna Storm

4yo Gelding · 10-12

Newton Abbot · Jodie Standing's Point-To-Point Recruits Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 167y

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed a bit when hitting the frame in a course bumper in July. Looks to be being brought along with handicaps in mind over hurdles, finishing down the field in first-time hood at Worcester (2m, 100/1) last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Fontwell 06/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 2m1f162y Gd 1506/0554 @ Newton Abbot 13/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m167y Goo 15213/0744 @ Worcester 23/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m Gd 15523/0844 @ Worcester 10/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 2m Gd 15610/094projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Worcester47th7th0
2026-08-23Worcester48th8th0
2026-07-13Newton Abbot44th4th0
2026-05-06Fontwell57th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0513/0723/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength77%

Delivery trend +22.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/05/20267th8/158%25%-0.33
13/07/20264th14/126%63%+0.36
23/08/20268th33/10%30%+0.30
10/09/20267th100/10%45%+0.45