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Gore Point

6yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 125

Newton Abbot · Shelley Coles - Setting the Pace at 60 Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 75y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Thriving when completing a 4-timer (and C&D hat-trick) in another small-field event last month. Clearly didn't give his running off a 5-day turnaround here subsequently. Has been given time to get over that and may go close if back on song with Harry Cobden taking over.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Worcester 26/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 100 · 2m110y Gd 168 · below its mark26/09/2025 · OR 100 par26/095OR 1005 @ Worcester 15/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 99 · 2m110y Gd 167 · below its mark15/10/2025 · OR 99 par5 @ Taunton 27/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 97 · 2m2f40y Goo 168 · below its mark27/11/2025 · OR 97 par27/115OR 975 @ Fontwell 10/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 97 · 2m3f104y Goo 161 · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 97 par5 @ Stratford 29/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 96 · 2m3f98y Goo 164 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 96 par29/065OR 963 @ Newton Abbot 03/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 96 · 2m75y Goo 148 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 96 par4 @ Newton Abbot 13/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 109 · 2m75y Goo 168 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 109 par13/074OR 1093 @ Newton Abbot 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 117 · 2m75y Goo 164 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 117 par2 @ Newton Abbot 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 117 · 2m75y Goo 163 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 117 par27/082OR 117projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Newton Abbot24th3rd+1
2026-08-22Newton Abbot31st1st0
2026-07-13Newton Abbot41st2nd−1
2026-07-03Newton Abbot31st1st0
2026-06-29Stratford51st3rd−2
2026-06-10Fontwell52nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0910/0613/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 433% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength47%

Delivery trend -7.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 4. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/09/20253rd7/163%80%+0.17
15/10/20254th6/168%75%+0.07
27/11/20252nd10/382%86%+0.03
10/06/20262nd9/488%75%-0.13
29/06/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
03/07/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
13/07/20261st1/297%100%+0.03
22/08/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
27/08/20264th5/696%0%-0.96