3
Inside Man
6yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 120
Newton Abbot · Shelley Coles - Setting the Pace at 60 Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 75y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Chepstow | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Plumpton | 2 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-11-06 | Newbury | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-09 | Newton Abbot | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-21 | Chepstow | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-04-02 | Exeter | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 40% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength58%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 4.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2024 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 44% | -0.11 |
| 18/11/2024 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 05/12/2024 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 02/04/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 21/04/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/09/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 06/11/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 05/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |