5

Princess Of Ballea

4yo Filly · 10-2 · OR 83

Newton Abbot · Final Furlong Before 'I Do' Selling Handicap Hurdle · 2m 167y

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Modest place form in bumpers. Only showed a bit on what was effectively her hurdling debut over C&D in June (hasn't bettered that form in 2 starts since). Improvement needed to defy her opening mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength59%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Huntingdon 07/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m7f171y Goo 1497/1055 @ Stratford 30/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 2m70y Goo 15430/1052 @ Wincanton 12/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 1m7f50y Gd 148 · HIGHER CLASS12/0424 @ Newton Abbot 12/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m167y Goo 149 · HIGHER CLASS12/0644 @ Newton Abbot 03/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m167y Goo 158 · HIGHER CLASS3/0744 @ Stratford 25/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 2m2f148y GF 154 · HIGHER CLASS25/084projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Stratford44th3rd+1
2026-07-03Newton Abbot46th5th+1
2026-06-12Newton Abbot46th5th+1
2026-05-27Newton Abbot4+1
2026-04-12Wincanton23rd-1th+3
2025-10-30Stratford55th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1030/1012/0412/063/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength34%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/10/20253rd40/10%78%+0.78
30/10/20255th9/153%67%+0.14
12/04/20263rd10/147%50%+0.03
12/06/20266th66/10%38%+0.38
03/07/20266th33/10%29%+0.29
25/08/20264th33/10%57%+0.57