Saint Polo
6yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 109
Newton Abbot · Final Furlong Before 'I Do' Selling Handicap Hurdle · 2m 167y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
56%
Place Prob
43%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-28 | Sedgefield | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Stratford | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Fontwell | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Taunton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/11/2025 | 5th | 150/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 20/01/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 10/03/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 14/05/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 14% | -0.67 |
| 16/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 23/06/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |