4
Kittys Glance
5yo Mare · 11-2 · OR 105
Newton Abbot · Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 122y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Stratford | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Newton Abbot | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Worcester | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Hereford | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Huntingdon | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-22 | Huntingdon | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 4.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 82% | -0.06 |
| 15/11/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.16 |
| 22/12/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 18/03/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |