1
Kom Tu Voudras
6yo Mare · 11-12 · OR 115
Newton Abbot · Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 122y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
74%
Place Prob
52%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Newton Abbot | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-28 | Fontwell | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Stratford | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-24 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Worcester | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 4100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength92%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 4.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 21/11/2025 | 10th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/06/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 17% | -0.73 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |