7
French Diablo
4yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 81
Newton Abbot · Par Inn Bulpin Cup Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 3m 2f 105y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Plumpton | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-10 | Worcester | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Stratford | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-12 | Stratford | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Stratford | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Newton Abbot | 4 | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |
| 17/12/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 29/06/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 10/09/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 20/09/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |