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Glitz And Glamour

5yo Mare · 12-0 · OR 105

Newton Abbot · Par Inn Bulpin Cup Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 3m 2f 105y

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sligo maiden hurdle winner whose form went the wrong way (including over fences) for Eric McNamara in Ireland. British mark looks stiff enough, even if back on song for new handler.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 11.2 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -5.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 07/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m7f204y Gd 1477/07C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 22/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f89y Gd 147C8 @ Sligo 20/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 2m1f111y Gd 15020/08C8BHA107 @ Listowel 21/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR 107 · 2m2f Yie 161 · below its mark21/09/2025 · OR 107 parC0 @ Killarney 05/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 2m7f100y Yie 1495/10C?C0 @ Limerick 19/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 2m3f50y Yie 152BHA102 @ Cork 10/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 102 · 2m4f Goo 158 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 102 par10/07102OR 102BHA100 @ Roscommon 04/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 100 · 2m7f210y Yie 156 · below its mark04/08/2026 · OR 100 par4/08100OR 100projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-04RoscommonBHA10011th17th−5
2026-07-10CorkBHA1026th12th−5
2026-05-21LimerickBHA104−5
2025-10-19Limerick?9th9th0
2025-10-05Killarney?3rd3rd0
2025-09-21ListowelBHA1078th15th−6

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0721/0910/074/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength38%

Delivery trend -5.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/07/20253rd25/10%87%+0.87
22/07/20256th6/168%58%-0.10
20/08/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
21/09/20258th13/266%59%-0.07
05/10/20253rd5/174%60%-0.14
19/10/20259th16/116%0%-0.16
10/07/20266th20/10%67%+0.67
04/08/202611th11/142%29%-0.14