Poet's Muse
5yo Mare · 10-10 · OR 87
Newton Abbot · Par Inn Bulpin Cup Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 3m 2f 105y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Ffos Las | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Taunton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Chepstow | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-29 | Wincanton | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -18.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 04/04/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 20/05/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |