1
Float Away
7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 76
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
29%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 28/07/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 28/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 11/08/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 17% | -0.74 |
| 14/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |