5
Lady Hamilton
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 68
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength90%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 20/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 21/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 14/09/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |