6
Waterloo Sunset
9yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 62
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-20 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-12-09 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2024 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 27/10/2024 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 13/11/2024 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 09/12/2024 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 20/05/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 13/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 05/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/09/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |