2
Rock Tune
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 72
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
34%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength92%
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 01/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 23/11/2025 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 27% | -0.54 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 08/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 14/09/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |