4
Time Leap
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 79
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-02-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-12-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength64%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2024 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 28/11/2024 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 19/12/2024 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 28/02/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 04/06/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 24/06/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 21/02/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 18/03/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 40% | -0.52 |