Its Satisfactual
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 84
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 16/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 27/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 25/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |